trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +16.3% | +5.2% | 56% | 11% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +16.3% | +5.2% | 56% | 11% | -7.5% |
| all | 29 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 52% | 10% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 10% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 7% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 7% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 7% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $4 | +$6 | +142% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $45 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 25 | $26 | +$2 | +6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May? | May 12 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April? | May 06 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? | May 06 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 05 | $9 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 24 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government? | Apr 24 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in t | Apr 24 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 23 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter? | Apr 23 | $3 | +$3 | +100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats? | Apr 22 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |