Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:15:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9035…095e crypto 349 markets active 1h ago coverage 233d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$605 (-8%) realized −$605 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate94%327W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day1.5pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53
7 days−$55
14 days−$77
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$207
other 7% −$223
sports 6% −$185
finance 4% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -3.2% -12.4% 95% 0% -13.8%
≤30d 174 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 339 -4.6% -13.7% 94% 0% -25.4%
all 349 -1.8% -11.2% 94% 3% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 3% -17.0%
10% -19.7% 3% -25.0%
15% -27.4% 3% -32.2%
20% -34.6% 3% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$59 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

233d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$605
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses327 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)349 / 349
History coverage233d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 349 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 17? Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 17? Jun 17 $29 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 98¢ $15 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $50 9h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 98¢ $50 9h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 17? BUY Yes 93¢ $10 9h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 17? BUY No 94¢ $29 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 98¢ $30 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 98¢ $29 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $0 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $30 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 16? BUY Yes 99¢ $30 33h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 37h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2058 history records