Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:39:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9034…4375
other · 127 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$2,949 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,146 · open −$1,803
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$980
Realized−$1,146
Unrealized−$1,803
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses35 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions4
Markets (closed)143 / 127
History coverage32d
Avg bet$380
Trades / day105.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 4 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,213
7 days−$9,455
14 days−$10,912
30 days+$4,076
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 28¢ 14¢ $998 $513 −$485 (-49%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 23¢ 8¢ $1,045 $340 −$705 (-67%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 14¢ 2¢ $679 $102 −$578 (-85%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $60 $25 −$34 (-57%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1,103 $0 −$1,103 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $487 $0 −$487 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Misa Esports 60¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1,578 $0 −$1,578 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $309 $0 −$309 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $799 $0 −$799 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1,639 $0 −$1,639 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1,129 $0 −$1,129 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5) Zverev 69¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $487 −$629 -129%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $799 −$912 -114%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $1,639 −$1,639 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $1,129 −$1,129 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $18 −$33 -188%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $183 −$183 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $1,214 −$1,214 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $552 −$552 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $373 −$600 -161%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 14 $371 −$371 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $823 −$823 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $346 −$346 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $290 −$290 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $600 −$600 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $324 −$548 -169%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $194 −$806 -416%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $190 −$190 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $800 −$800 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1,450 +$3,107 +214%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $618 −$598 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $238 −$146 -62%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $800 −$777 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $45 −$36 -81%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,263 −$1,180 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $2,039 +$3,225 +158%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,544 −$286 -18%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $512 −$486 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $397 −$365 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $176 −$151 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 06 $58 −$23 -39%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $1,309 +$2,284 +174%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $629 −$536 -85%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $214 −$209 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $1,525 −$1,482 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $428 −$414 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $73 −$73 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $25 +$5 +18%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $21 +$29 +140%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 03 $19 +$21 +105%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $16 −$16 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $26 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 +$10 +50%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,577 +$42 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $212 −$208 -98%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 02 $17 −$17 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $403 −$368 -91%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $388 −$382 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $25 +$14 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$8,938
sports 1% −$31
crypto 1% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $81 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $24 4h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $44 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 5h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 6h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 6h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $30 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $184 6h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $49 6h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $34 6h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 7h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 7h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 7h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 7h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 7h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $23 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $30 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $13 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $52 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $34 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $108 11h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $33 13h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $113 15h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $23 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -78.6% -80.6% 6% 6% -46.3%
≤30d 121 -0.2% -9.7% 27% 27% +6.3%
≤90d 143 -12.2% -20.6% 24% 24% -6.1%
all 143 -12.2% -20.6% 24% 24% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 24% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 22% -15.1%
15% -35.1% 22% -23.3%
20% -41.5% 17% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $980.26 · official $980.73 (match) · 3500 history records