trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $457 | $432 | −$25 (-5%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $271 | $258 | −$14 (-5%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $74 | $69 | −$5 (-6%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $24 | $22 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $19 | $18 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 1¢ | $23 | $0 | −$22 (-98%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $29 | $0 | −$29 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $45 | +$49 | +109% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$3 | -11% |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | Jun 12 | $24 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$1 | -36% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 12 | $14 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$29 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 17% | 17% | -0.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 17% | 17% | -0.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 17% | 17% | -0.7% |
| all | 6 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 17% | 17% | -0.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.7% | 17% | -0.7% |
| 10% | -24.7% | 17% | -10.2% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 17% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 17% | -26.8% |