Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x902e…0ddc
crypto · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses10 / 7
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$92
14 days−$92
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $101 −$16 -16%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $51 +$30 +58%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $51 +$31 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $30 +$6 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $81 +$31 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $81 +$27 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$96 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $120 −$118 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$43 +404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +47%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $36 +$18 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$127
crypto 45% −$219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 99¢ $28 35m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 71¢ $20 47m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 24¢ $9 53m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 49¢ $10 56m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 79¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 72¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 46¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 14¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 12¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 64¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 86¢ $25 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $37 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $51 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 89¢ $20 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $51 7h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $81 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $81 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $7 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $103 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $22 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +11.6% +1.0% 59% 47% -20.1%
≤30d 17 +11.6% +1.0% 59% 47% -20.1%
≤90d 17 +11.6% +1.0% 59% 47% -20.1%
all 17 +11.6% +1.0% 59% 47% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.0% 47% -20.1%
10% -8.7% 41% -27.7%
15% -17.5% 35% -34.7%
20% -25.6% 24% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 45 history records