Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T01:16:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9020…c77f crypto 9 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate56%5W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day12.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 9 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 9 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 0% -9.9%
all 9 -9.8% -18.4% 56% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -9.9%
10% -26.2% 0% -18.5%
15% -33.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -39.9% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 61% · top 2 95% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 9 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records