Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x901e…e83c
other · 52 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$13 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses43 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 52
History coverage13d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 1 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$10
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) United States 100¢ 100¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $30 +$1 +3%
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Jun 11 $16 $0 +0%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $28 +$1 +5%
Exact Score: UD Almería 3 - 3 CD Castellón? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5) Jun 10 $27 $0 +0%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 3 Chile? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $20 $0 +0%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5) Jun 09 $16 $0 +0%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $27 $0 +1%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $26 +$1 +5%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $26 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 2 - 1 Cyprus? Jun 07 $25 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Vanraure Hachinohe FC 3 - 3 FC Imabari? Jun 07 $25 $0 +0%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Chile? Jun 07 $16 $0 +0%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Tunisia? Jun 06 $3 $0 +1%
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5) Jun 06 $6 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Tunisia? Jun 06 $6 $0 +0%
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5) Jun 06 $2 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Tōkyō Verdy 3 - 2 Gamba Ōsaka? Jun 06 $7 $0 +1%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $16 +$1 +4%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Exact Score: JEF United Ichihara Chiba 3 - 3 Avispa Fukuoka? Jun 06 $3 $0 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $25 $0 +1%
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $22 +$3 +12%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 1 - 3 India? Jun 05 $6 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 3 - 3 India? Jun 05 $11 $0 +0%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $20 +$2 +10%
Exact Score: Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 3 AC Nagano Parceiro? Jun 05 $20 $0 +1%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $21 $0 -2%
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $19 +$2 +9%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $11 $0 -3%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $15 +$5 +36%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 02 $9 +$6 +73%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $19 −$10 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$5
sports 47% +$18
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 100¢ $29 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $28 7h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? AND BUY 32¢ $1 17h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY 67¢ $2 17h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia? BUY No 98¢ $31 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? SELL No 100¢ $31 29h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? BUY No 96¢ $30 32h
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) BUY Spurs 100¢ $16 47h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $8 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $20 2d
Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5) BUY UD Almería 100¢ $17 3d
Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5) BUY UD Almería 99¢ $10 3d
Exact Score: UD Almería 3 - 3 CD Castellón? BUY No 97¢ $1 3d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 100¢ $20 3d
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 3 Chile? BUY No 100¢ $6 3d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 97¢ $2 3d
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5) BUY Chile 100¢ $16 3d
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $3 3d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 94¢ $24 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 99¢ $27 5d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $27 5d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 95¢ $26 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -2.5% -11.8% 95% 5% -7.7%
≤30d 49 -2.5% -11.8% 88% 8% -7.6%
≤90d 49 -2.5% -11.8% 88% 8% -7.6%
all 49 -2.5% -11.8% 88% 8% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 8% -7.6%
10% -20.2% 4% -16.5%
15% -28.0% 4% -24.5%
20% -35.0% 2% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.04 · official $32.04 · 124 history records