Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:19:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

90
0x9008…f3ce
crypto · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,827 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,703 · open −$131
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$222
Realized−$1,703
Unrealized−$131
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses65 / 161
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions23
Markets (closed)226 / 249
History coverage409d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 23 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 29¢ 26¢ $101 $92 −$8 (-8%)
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes 44¢ 40¢ $22 $20 −$2 (-10%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 32¢ 16¢ $35 $18 −$17 (-48%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 41¢ 41¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-4%)
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes 38¢ 42¢ $13 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 34¢ 35¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $13 $10 −$3 (-20%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes 19¢ 8¢ $15 $6 −$9 (-57%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 24¢ 18¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-27%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-79%)
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes 16¢ 3¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-82%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? No 24¢ 8¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-69%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 17¢ 2¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-86%)
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-56%)
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-94%)
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-74%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 25¢ 1¢ $25 $1 −$24 (-98%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes 20¢ 1¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-96%)
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-90%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes 14¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-96%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes 18¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-96%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -45%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -37%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Jun 13 $27 −$10 -39%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Jun 13 $11 −$7 -63%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? Jun 13 $48 −$16 -34%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 13 $64 −$13 -21%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $11 +$6 +61%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? Jun 11 $20 −$3 -15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? May 17 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30? May 17 $1 +$1 +78%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee May 17 $20 −$14 -68%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? May 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? May 09 $10 −$6 -56%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? May 03 $20 −$2 -11%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? Apr 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? Apr 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March? Apr 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March? Apr 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March? Apr 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March? Apr 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March? Apr 10 $16 −$1 -6%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March? Apr 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March? Apr 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March? Apr 10 $102 −$41 -40%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? Apr 10 $65 −$47 -72%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March? Apr 10 $32 −$30 -93%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March? Apr 10 $79 −$71 -90%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 08 $13 +$21 +162%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? Apr 08 $5 −$1 -23%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? Apr 07 $17 −$9 -55%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Apr 07 $27 −$4 -16%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Apr 02 $30 $0 -2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Apr 02 $50 +$2 +5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Apr 02 $30 +$8 +26%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 02 $20 +$6 +30%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $2 −$2 -76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? Apr 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? Apr 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Mar 31 $4 −$1 -15%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Mar 31 $1 $0 -9%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March? Mar 30 $6 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% −$901
other 32% −$437
sports 16% −$281
finance 4% −$20
world 4% −$18
economics 3% −$133
politics 1% −$42
culture 0% −$1
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? SELL Yes 9¢ $9 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL Yes 2¢ $4 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL Yes 4¢ $6 1h
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 30¢ $13 1h
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 44¢ $22 4h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $26 47h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $6 47h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $11 47h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? SELL Yes 35¢ $17 47h
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 3d
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $6 3d
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 3d
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 3d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $21 4d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $27 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL Yes 13¢ $15 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL Yes 8¢ $10 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 35¢ $31 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $12 8d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL Yes 15¢ $19 8d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? BUY Yes 5¢ $11 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -27.8% -34.7% 9% 9% -32.6%
≤30d 16 -25.9% -33.0% 19% 19% -34.2%
≤90d 73 -39.5% -45.2% 16% 15% -42.4%
all 226 -14.4% -22.5% 29% 23% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.5% 23% -30.7%
10% -29.9% 20% -37.3%
15% -36.7% 17% -43.4%
20% -42.9% 12% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $222.34 · official $222.36 (match) · 1905 history records