Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T17:30:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
90 0x9003…5ce3 crypto 1201 markets active 1h ago coverage 90d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 89d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,196 (-10%) realized −$1,196 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate53%640W / 561L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day30.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days−$288
14 days−$259
30 days−$826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,460
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 -8.6% -17.3% 68% 44% -22.4%
≤30d 583 -10.6% -19.1% 64% 45% -26.5%
≤90d 1201 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 42% -20.5%
all 1201 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 42% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 42% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 28% -28.1%
15% -34.0% 22% -35.1%
20% -40.4% 17% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$8 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses640 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1201 / 1201
History coverage90d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1201 Trades
no open positions (95 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $30 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$31 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 28 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $31 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records