trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $30 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $71 | $71 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $1,205 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $1,194 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 24 | $68 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | May 24 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 24 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 21 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 21 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 20 | $776 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 20 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $682 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $722 | −$1 | -0% |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | May 19 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 19 | $786 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | May 19 | $749 | −$3 | -0% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | May 18 | $44 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 18 | $784 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 18 | $805 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 18 | $725 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 03 | $133 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 03 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |