Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:40:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8ff6…e6c6
crypto · 1596 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$274 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$274 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses771 / 825
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1596 / 1596
History coverage53d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day65.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$26
14 days−$44
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$274
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -12.6% -20.9% 59% 38% -21.1%
≤30d 757 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 40% -21.0%
≤90d 1596 -7.8% -16.6% 48% 35% -16.8%
all 1596 -7.8% -16.6% 48% 35% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 35% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 18% -24.8%
15% -31.9% 8% -32.0%
20% -38.6% 1% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records