trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +11.8% | +1.2% | 46% | 46% | +20.9% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -20.5% | -28.0% | 34% | 34% | +3.0% |
| ≤90d | 34 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 32% | 32% | -3.6% |
| all | 34 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 32% | 32% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.2% | 32% | -3.6% |
| 10% | -38.7% | 32% | -12.8% |
| 15% | -44.6% | 32% | -21.2% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 32% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $18 | +$8 (+82%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-51%) |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-62%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$12 | -57% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$2 | -33% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$10 | -49% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $9 | +$5 | +52% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | Jun 14 | $60 | +$42 | +71% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? | Jun 14 | $82 | +$74 | +90% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$10 | +100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 11 | $31 | +$66 | +217% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $12 | +$18 | +142% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5? | Jun 09 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5? | Jun 09 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco | Jun 08 | $41 | +$32 | +78% |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12? | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 15? | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? | Jun 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi | Jun 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4? | Jun 06 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Jun 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 06 | $51 | +$74 | +145% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4? | Jun 04 | $31 | +$18 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $31 | +$50 | +165% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3? | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main) | Jun 03 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 12 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | May 12 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |