Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:39:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fe3…1e24
crypto · 1734 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1457 / 277
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1734 / 1734
History coverage64d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day32.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1734 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$59
14 days−$94
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -3.1% -12.3% 81% 43% -11.1%
≤30d 921 +1.0% -8.6% 86% 39% -9.2%
≤90d 1734 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 40% -9.5%
all 1734 +0.2% -9.4% 84% 40% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 40% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 3% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records