Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T08:38:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8F 0x8fd1…bfe8 sports 135 markets active 1h ago coverage 44d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 43d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$14,102 (+9%) realized +$14,102 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate23%53W / 175L
Whale WR25%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,141per market
Trades / day78.2pace
Fees−$4,140est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 44d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$4,940
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -6.6% -15.5% 5% 5% -93.4%
≤30d 141 -4.5% -13.6% 16% 16% -64.4%
≤90d 228 +9.0% -1.4% 23% 22% -43.6%
all 228 +9.0% -1.4% 23% 22% -43.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 22% -43.6%
10% -10.9% 21% -49.0%
15% ← realistic here -19.5% 21% -53.9%
20% -27.4% 20% -58.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -40% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt -40% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 25% (≥$1,360) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +28% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
18.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,289 vs −$868 · ×1.48 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.45 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses53 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$4,140
Open positions0
Markets (closed)228 / 135
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$1,141
Trades / day78.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 228 Trades
no open positions (171 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,582 −$1,580 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $0 +$10 +2336%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $536 −$536 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $126 −$168 -133%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 29 $796 −$796 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,385 −$1,385 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $975 −$975 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $255 −$255 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $850 −$850 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $2,963 −$2,696 -91%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $420 −$420 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $388 −$388 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $907 −$544 -60%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $48 +$4,584 +9501%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $126 −$233 -186%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,701 −$1,671 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $2,049 −$2,049 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $2,052 −$2,052 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $619 −$619 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $888 −$1,320 -149%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 29 $2,333 −$2,333 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 29 $1,986 −$1,986 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $392 −$242 -62%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $394 −$394 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $345 −$345 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,768 −$1,768 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $1 +$519 +98711%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 29 $187 −$126 -67%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 29 $175 −$175 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $3,935 −$3,935 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,413 −$1,413 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 29 $311 −$318 -102%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $340 −$980 -288%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,073 −$1,073 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $145 −$145 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $757 −$757 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 29 $0 −$249 -70050%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $364 −$364 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $176 −$176 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $308 −$538 -175%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 29 $1,549 −$1,549 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 29 $440 −$440 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $228 −$362 -159%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $547 −$782 -143%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $33 +$908 +2731%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,648 −$1,648 -100%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $881 −$696 -79%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $584 −$584 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 7¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 7¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 7¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 7¢ $23 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 7¢ $35 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 4¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 4¢ $37 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 5¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 5¢ $19 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 5¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 5¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 5¢ $26 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 9¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $65 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $51 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $100 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $4 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $10 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $3 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 27¢ $17 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $0 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $162 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records