trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -13.0% | -21.3% | 60% | 60% | +40.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 62% | 56% | +0.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 62% | 56% | +0.0% |
| all | 16 | -14.5% | -22.6% | 62% | 56% | +0.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.6% | 56% | +0.0% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 38% | -9.5% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 31% | -18.3% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 12% | -26.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 92¢ | $624 | $1,049 | +$425 (+68%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 34¢ | $1,519 | $903 | −$616 (-41%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 76¢ | $519 | $650 | +$132 (+25%) |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $620 | $620 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 20¢ | $600 | $224 | −$376 (-63%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Jun 28 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Jun 28 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Jun 28 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 22 | $1,324 | +$772 | +58% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $194 | −$118 | -61% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 18 | $554 | −$464 | -84% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | Jun 15 | $560 | +$68 | +12% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2,273 | +$950 | +42% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $304 | −$304 | -100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1,111 | −$358 | -32% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $88 | +$19 | +22% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $138 | +$61 | +44% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 14 | $3,485 | +$123 | +4% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 13 | $3,027 | +$504 | +17% |