Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:03:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fbf…2447
crypto · 110 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses90 / 19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)109 / 110
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day321.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 1 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Up 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $87 +$11 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$11 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$56 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$7 -26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$12 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$16 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $164 +$12 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $76 +$10 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$15 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$18 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$15 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$4 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$12 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$11 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$8 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +18%
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$7 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$21 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $66 +$12 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$23 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$69 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$10 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$68
other 14% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $117 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $98 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $96 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $13 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $20 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $18 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $45 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $46 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $12 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $85 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $87 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $20 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 53m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $27 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +1.3% -8.3% 83% 55% -8.4%
≤30d 109 +1.3% -8.3% 83% 55% -8.4%
≤90d 109 +1.3% -8.3% 83% 55% -8.4%
all 109 +1.3% -8.3% 83% 55% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover321.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 55% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 15% -17.2%
15% -25.1% 5% -25.2%
20% -32.4% 1% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 352 history records