Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8fa7…8c7a
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$254 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$281
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses195 / 287
Open positions3
Markets (closed)482 / 129
History coverage1d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day3380.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$256
7 days−$256
14 days−$256
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $19 $39 +$20 (+102%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 62¢ 56¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $14 $23 +$9 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 42¢ 44¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 18¢ 24¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+101%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+129%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+151%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$23 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$22 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$9 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$8 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$7 -380%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$9 +1558%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -220%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$5 -162%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +635%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +560%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$6 +1385%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$6 -759%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +430%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +383%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$4 -137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +287%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +407%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$7 -269%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +555%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -568%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -171%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$4 -324%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$9 +1302%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -770%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -457%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2010%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +848%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$4 -427%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +479%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$11 +2402%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+237.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 482 +273.3% +237.8% 40% 32% -9.7%
≤30d 482 +273.3% +237.8% 40% 32% -9.7%
≤90d 482 +273.3% +237.8% 40% 32% -9.7%
all 482 +273.3% +237.8% 40% 32% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3380.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +237.8% 32% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here +205.5% 31% -18.4%
15% +175.9% 31% -26.2%
20% +148.9% 30% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $281.06 · official $159.45 · 3500 history records