trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 20% | 0% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 20% | 0% | -11.8% |
| all | 27 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 48% | 7% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 7% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 4% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 4% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 4% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $26 | $25 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $49 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $46 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 27 | $61 | −$4 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 22 | $41 | −$5 | -11% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 21 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 08 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April? | Apr 07 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | Apr 07 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Apr 05 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 05 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4? | Apr 04 | $53 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? | Apr 02 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April? | Mar 30 | $0 | $0 | -22% |
| Will Fear & Greed Index report "Neutral" on March 31? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Solana above $130 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $17 | +$34 | +195% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Mar 28 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31? | Mar 25 | $19 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $18 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14? | Mar 12 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 20 | Mar 12 | $17 | $0 | +1% |