Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f83…337a
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$51 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$51
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses2 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 60¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 $0 -2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$14 +107%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$41
sports 26% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $9 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $10 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $9 10h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $10 20h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 58¢ $12 20h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $27 21h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 57¢ $13 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $44 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 14% -51.3%
≤30d 7 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 14% -51.3%
≤90d 7 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 14% -51.3%
all 7 -27.9% -34.8% 29% 14% -51.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.8% 14% -51.3%
10% -41.0% 14% -56.0%
15% -46.7% 14% -60.2%
20% -51.9% 14% -64.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.45 · official $18.45 (match) · 16 history records