trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +93.8% | +75.3% | 60% | 60% | +102.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +52.0% | +37.5% | 58% | 58% | +51.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +42.4% | +28.9% | 53% | 53% | +40.8% |
| all | 47 | +4.2% | -5.8% | 51% | 49% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 49% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 45% | -8.7% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 40% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 32% | -25.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $28 | +$8 (+38%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 50¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $21 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $26 | +$153 | +596% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $15 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $41 | +$44 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$9 | +31% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 07 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $20 | +$31 | +150% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $20 | +$34 | +165% |
| Will there be exactly 4 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Final | Jun 04 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 02 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 04 | $20 | −$2 | -12% |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Apr 26 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 25 | $20 | −$12 | -58% |
| Utah vs. Stars | Mar 17 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Penguins vs. Avalanche | Mar 16 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Utah | Mar 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Wild | Mar 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Islanders | Mar 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Wild | Mar 11 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Kings vs. Bruins | Mar 11 | $20 | +$14 | +68% |
| Flames vs. Rangers | Mar 11 | $5 | −$4 | -73% |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Mar 11 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | Mar 10 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Mar 09 | $10 | +$10 | +104% |
| Jazz vs. Wizards | Mar 08 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Mar 08 | $20 | +$12 | +59% |
| Blackhawks vs. Stars | Mar 08 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Jazz | Jan 31 | $18 | −$15 | -83% |
| Pistons vs. Warriors | Jan 31 | $22 | −$14 | -61% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Jan 30 | $9 | −$5 | -52% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 | Jan 30 | $10 | +$9 | +84% |
| Magic vs. Heat | Jan 29 | $40 | −$20 | -50% |
| Lakers vs. Cavaliers | Jan 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jan 28 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Jan 28 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jan 27 | $5 | −$2 | -30% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Jan 27 | $25 | +$12 | +47% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $11 | +$9 | +79% |
| Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | Jan 26 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Golden Knights vs. Senators | Jan 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $14 | +$5 | +33% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Jan 25 | $14 | +$24 | +170% |