trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 25% | 25% | +21.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 25% | 25% | +21.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 25% | 25% | +21.0% |
| all | 12 | -53.9% | -58.3% | 17% | 17% | +20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -58.3% | 17% | +20.0% |
| 10% | -62.3% | 8% | +8.5% |
| 15% | -65.9% | 8% | -2.0% |
| 20% | -69.3% | 0% | -11.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 84¢ | 74¢ | $15,000 | $13,378 | −$1,622 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $7,031 | +$1,195 | +17% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $103 | −$6 | -6% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $10,445 | +$4,753 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Jun 21 | $4 | −$2 | -50% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 21 | $4 | −$1 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 21 | $10 | −$4 | -34% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to | Feb 20 | $60 | −$56 | -94% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to | Feb 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Feb 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to | Feb 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |