Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f46…b83a
crypto · 254 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,217 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$1,217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses121 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)254 / 254
History coverage13d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day73.9
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$934
7 days+$516
14 days+$1,217
30 days+$1,217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+57%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+46%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$29 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$36 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$20 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$289 +292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$27 +99%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$59 +135%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$68 +154%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$13 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$99 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$205 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$40 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$69 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$85 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$41 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$41 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$78 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$48 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$27 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$140 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$52 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$22 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$36 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$47 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$52 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$72 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$10 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$52 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$78 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$104 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$80 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$78 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$15 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$15 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,196
other 1% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $33 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $38 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $27 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $120 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $37 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $27 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $27 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $27 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $52 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $27 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $16 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $20 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $27 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+54.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 +116.7% +96.1% 54% 49% -1.9%
≤30d 254 +70.6% +54.3% 48% 44% +4.2%
≤90d 254 +70.6% +54.3% 48% 44% +4.2%
all 254 +70.6% +54.3% 48% 44% +4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +54.3% 44% +4.2%
10% ← realistic here +39.5% 40% -5.7%
15% +26.1% 35% -14.8%
20% +13.7% 31% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $0.00 · 1076 history records