Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:46:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f44…02be
crypto · 115 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses81 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)115 / 115
History coverage5d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$89
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$23 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$25 +230%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 40% -10.9%
≤30d 115 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 40% -10.9%
≤90d 115 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 40% -10.9%
all 115 +0.9% -8.8% 70% 40% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 40% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 24% -19.5%
15% -25.5% 17% -27.2%
20% -32.8% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 432 history records