Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T22:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8F 0x8f2d…ece2 crypto 1420 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (144 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$135 (-1%) realized −$135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate90%1273W / 147L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day143.6pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$196
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$142
other 8% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (144 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 652 -5.8% -14.7% 86% 2% -12.1%
≤30d 1420 -2.2% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.9%
≤90d 1420 -2.2% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.9%
all 1420 -2.2% -11.5% 90% 2% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover143.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 2% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 1% -19.5%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.2%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1273 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1420 / 1420
History coverage11d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day143.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1420 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 29 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 29 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2891 history records