Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T18:33:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
8F 0x8f2b…9835 sports 4 markets active 3h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (475 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$1,152 (+95%) realized +$1,152 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +95% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +50% what you keep after slip
Net edge+50%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%4W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$304per market
Trades / day475.0pace
Fees−$88est.
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 81% +$962
other 19% +$190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+76.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +94.9% +76.3% 100% 100% +76.2%
≤30d 4 +94.9% +76.3% 100% 100% +76.2%
≤90d 4 +94.9% +76.3% 100% 100% +76.2%
all 4 +94.9% +76.3% 100% 100% +76.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover475.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +76.3% 100% +76.2%
10% ← realistic here +59.4% 100% +59.3%
15% +44.0% 100% +43.9%
20% +29.9% 100% +29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 40% · top 2 78% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +95% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +95% · $-wt +95% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
68.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$288 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,152
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day475.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML Jun 22 $63 +$63 +100%
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu Jun 22 $515 +$461 +89%
Will Oneil Cruz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regul Jun 22 $407 +$438 +108%
Will Filipe Luis be the next manager of SSC Napoli? Jun 22 $231 +$190 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $9 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $15 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $15 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $13 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $12 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML SELL Yes 0¢ $12 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $7 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Giancarlo Stanton have the highest batting average in the 2026 ML BUY Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu SELL Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu SELL Yes 0¢ $6 2h
Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu SELL Yes 0¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 475 history records