Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f23…5a80
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$194 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$194 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses9 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage14d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$194
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $98 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $157 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$34 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 04 $42 +$8 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $224 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $173 −$13 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 03 $128 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 03 $67 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 03 $232 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 03 $64 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 03 $18 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 02 $190 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 02 $404 −$44 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 02 $570 −$30 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 02 $527 −$17 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 02 $59 +$17 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 02 $46 +$10 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $123 −$11 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 31 $14 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 31 $35 −$2 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 31 $8 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 31 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 30 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 30 $52 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 30 $44 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 30 $55 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 30 $20 −$8 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 30 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 30 $56 −$16 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -6.7% -15.6% 22% 0% -16.3%
≤30d 36 -7.2% -16.0% 25% 11% -13.9%
≤90d 36 -7.2% -16.0% 25% 11% -13.9%
all 36 -7.2% -16.0% 25% 11% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 11% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 3% -22.1%
15% -31.4% 0% -29.7%
20% -38.1% 0% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 720 history records