Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:00:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f0c…2f52
other · 60 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses23 / 37
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage33d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 0 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo? Jun 11 $4 −$3 -70%
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 11 $4 −$3 -71%
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde? Jun 11 $7 −$4 -64%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 06 $2 $0 +16%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2 $0 +14%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 27 $1 $0 -29%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? May 24 $1 $0 -1%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? May 20 $1 $0 +2%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 20 $2 $0 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $2 $0 -1%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? May 19 $2 $0 -1%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10? May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12? May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10? May 13 $1 $0 +5%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10? May 13 $4 −$1 -18%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17? May 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? May 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $2 $0 -5%
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $3 $0 -6%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $4 $0 -7%
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw? May 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $1 $0 -10%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw? May 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce May 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Gr May 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $1 −$1 -80%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $2 $0 +17%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 11 $3 +$3 +112%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $2 $0 +14%
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $1 $0 +12%
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? May 11 $3 −$1 -31%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner May 11 $1 +$1 +67%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $1 $0 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 33% −$4
other 28% −$2
sports 25% −$8
world 11% −$1
politics 1% $0
weather 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -19.0% -26.8% 31% 25% -26.9%
≤30d 23 -14.0% -22.2% 30% 22% -24.8%
≤90d 60 -1.2% -10.6% 38% 28% -19.3%
all 60 -1.2% -10.6% 38% 28% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 28% -19.3%
10% -19.1% 13% -27.0%
15% -27.0% 10% -34.1%
20% -34.1% 8% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 354 history records