Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f0c…151e
crypto · 229 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses138 / 88
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)226 / 229
History coverage25d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 73¢ 69¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-5%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Scotland 53¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $20 +$3 +14%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete Jun 11 $10 +$11 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $25 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $41 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $24 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$8 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$15
sports 7% +$19
other 2% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 53¢ $10 12m
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 73¢ $30 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 20h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 21h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 56¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 27h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY No 0¢ $1 42h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 87¢ $20 44h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 47¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $15 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -13.6% -21.8% 46% 26% -8.0%
≤30d 226 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 47% -9.0%
≤90d 226 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 47% -9.0%
all 226 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 47% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 47% -9.0%
10% -23.0% 32% -17.8%
15% -30.5% 19% -25.7%
20% -37.3% 10% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.64 · official $37.84 (match) · 613 history records