Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8F
0x8f07…90f0
sports · 18 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$34 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized+$36
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)14 / 18
History coverage13d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 4 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$51
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 55¢ 47¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-15%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$21 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 +$37 +304%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $27 +$24 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $33 −$13 -38%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $10 −$6 -58%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $9 −$9 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$4
other 35% +$63
crypto 12% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 17h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 21h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $49 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 27h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 28h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 43¢ $5 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 28h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 28h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 28h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +8.5% -1.8% 50% 50% +28.1%
≤30d 14 -7.0% -15.8% 43% 43% +14.6%
≤90d 14 -7.0% -15.8% 43% 43% +14.6%
all 14 -7.0% -15.8% 43% 43% +14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 43% +14.6%
10% -23.9% 43% +3.6%
15% -31.2% 36% -6.4%
20% -38.0% 29% -15.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.97 · official $78.97 (match) · 85 history records