Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8eeb…a4d1
crypto · 788 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,275 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,305 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,431
Realized+$1,305
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses732 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions33
Markets (closed)755 / 788
History coverage19d
Avg bet$260
Trades / day148.3
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 33 History 755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$126
14 days+$253
30 days+$1,305
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 13? No 100¢ 98¢ $566 $553 −$13 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $497 $498 +$1 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? No 100¢ 98¢ $491 $482 −$9 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $400 $399 −$1 (-0%)
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 13? No 100¢ 98¢ $374 $369 −$5 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $248 $246 −$1 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $244 $243 −$1 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $220 $219 −$1 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $190 $190 +$0 (+0%)
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $189 $188 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $172 $172 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $170 $169 −$1 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $113 $113 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $110 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $85 $84 −$0 (-0%)
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $81 $80 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 34¢ $6 $3 −$2 (-41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 +$14 +1116%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,847 +$2 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? Jun 13 $260 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Jun 13 $287 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13? Jun 13 $235 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 13? Jun 13 $860 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? Jun 13 $500 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $74 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? Jun 13 $1,027 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 13? Jun 13 $799 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 12? Jun 13 $530 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 12? Jun 13 $625 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $70 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 12? Jun 13 $572 +$1 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 12? Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 12? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $190 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 12? Jun 13 $315 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $57 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 12? Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 12? Jun 13 $549 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $268 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 12? Jun 13 $87 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 12? Jun 13 $1,699 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $530 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 12? Jun 13 $187 $0 +0%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? Jun 12 $430 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $502 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$5 +510%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $688 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $755 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 12? Jun 12 $102 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,338
other 0% −$45
sports 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $38 30m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $30 32m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $13 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 38m
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $10 39m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $56 41m
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 46m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $99 48m
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $248 50m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $170 51m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $200 58m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $399 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $300 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $150 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $0 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $211 1h
Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $171 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 +0.5% -9.1% 94% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 755 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -8.9%
≤90d 755 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -8.9%
all 755 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 1% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 1% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 1% -17.6%
15% -25.2% 1% -25.6%
20% -32.5% 1% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,431.00 · official $4,429.15 (match) · 3500 history records