Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:03:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ee8…ae98
sports · 448 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$50
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses313 / 127
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions9
Markets (closed)440 / 448
History coverage51d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 9 History 440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$62
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? No 98¢ 100¢ $33 $33 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? No 91¢ 100¢ $29 $32 +$3 (+9%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? No 98¢ 51¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-48%)
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? Yes 97¢ 89¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-9%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? No 67¢ 39¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-42%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 51¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Egypt? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 Yes 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
NK Istra 1961 vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 2.5 Under 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 0.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 23.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Agut vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5 Under 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Zverev 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $19 +$6 +33%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Shelton vs. Giron: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $9 −$1 -6%
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $8 +$3 +32%
Son Heungmin: 1+ shots Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Tomáš Chorý: 1+ shots Jun 12 $3 −$2 -89%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $54 +$8 +14%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $22 +$2 +9%
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Kicker vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Kicker vs. Hardt: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $4 +$3 +72%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +24%
Coria vs. Collarini: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Lucca Liu Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $19 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $32 +$3 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $18 +$1 +8%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $15 +$7 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $17 +$3 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $6 −$4 -63%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +7%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $3 $0 -7%
Lajovic vs. Batalla: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Lajovic vs. Batalla: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Faurel vs Tabur Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$100
other 14% +$35
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 67¢ $7 32m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $7 38m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $1 39m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $10 39m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $5 40m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $5 40m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 78¢ $1 48m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 78¢ $1 48m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $4 49m
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 1h
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? BUY Yes 100¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 90¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 91¢ $5 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
AC Goianiense to score first vs. CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -7.8% -16.6% 70% 27% -11.2%
≤30d 398 -4.1% -13.2% 71% 31% -9.3%
≤90d 440 -4.2% -13.4% 71% 30% -10.3%
all 440 -4.2% -13.4% 71% 30% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 30% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 18% -18.9%
15% -29.2% 11% -26.8%
20% -36.2% 7% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.86 · official $108.87 (match) · 3500 history records