Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ee5…0354
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$6 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 31¢ 6¢ $20 $4 −$16 (-79%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $102 −$92 -90%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$35 +113%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 +$30 +145%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $72 +$30 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$94
sports 50% −$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $20 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) SELL Scotland 4¢ $10 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $102 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $65 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 31h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 51¢ $50 32h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 36h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $101 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $72 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+37.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +52.4% +37.9% 75% 75% -8.8%
≤30d 4 +52.4% +37.9% 75% 75% -8.8%
≤90d 4 +52.4% +37.9% 75% 75% -8.8%
all 4 +52.4% +37.9% 75% 75% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +37.9% 75% -8.8%
10% +24.7% 75% -17.5%
15% +12.6% 75% -25.5%
20% +1.6% 50% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.19 · official $4.19 (match) · 9 history records