Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:50:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8ede…7f6f other 5 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-81%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -80% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -82% what you keep after slip
Net edge-82%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate20%1W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day7.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 55% −$6
finance 18% −$2
crypto 18% $0
sports 9% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-81.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -79.8% -81.7% 20% 0% -83.4%
≤30d 5 -79.8% -81.7% 20% 0% -83.4%
≤90d 5 -79.8% -81.7% 20% 0% -83.4%
all 5 -79.8% -81.7% 20% 0% -83.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -81.7% 0% -83.4%
10% -83.5% 0% -85.0%
15% -85.1% 0% -86.4%
20% -86.5% 0% -87.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -82% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -80% · $-wt -82% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 6d
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 54¢ $2 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records