Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8ec7…4a76
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses25 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)35 / 36
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gr Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -68%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$27
tech 6% +$1
other 4% −$1
sports 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $17 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -11.9% -20.3% 71% 23% -13.8%
≤30d 35 -11.9% -20.3% 71% 23% -13.8%
≤90d 35 -11.9% -20.3% 71% 23% -13.8%
all 35 -11.9% -20.3% 71% 23% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 23% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 6% -22.1%
15% -34.9% 0% -29.6%
20% -41.3% 0% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.94 · official $0.94 (match) · 109 history records