Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8eb9…c791
crypto · 451 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$904 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$904 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$904
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses318 / 133
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)451 / 451
History coverage11d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day308.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 451 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$761
7 days−$1,314
14 days−$904
30 days−$904
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $85 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$28 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $172 −$86 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$6 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$51 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $154 −$143 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $153 +$13 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $152 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$92 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$64 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $152 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $153 +$29 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$28 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $153 +$45 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $155 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $154 +$28 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $155 +$45 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$10 +7%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $284 +$86 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $154 +$130 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$36 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$58 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$72 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $177 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$30 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$59 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $174 −$37 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$56 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$990
sports 1% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $64 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $21 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $85 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $85 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $57 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $88 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $20 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $84 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 -7.3% -16.1% 65% 47% -13.5%
≤30d 451 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 49% -11.3%
≤90d 451 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 49% -11.3%
all 451 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 49% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover308.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 49% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 26% -19.8%
15% -29.3% 15% -27.5%
20% -36.2% 11% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records