trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | Yes | 9¢ | 17¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+89%) |
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 65¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | Yes | 56¢ | 53¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | Knicks | 44¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 64¢ | 19¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-70%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 24¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +147% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$5 | +99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $2 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -18.7% | -26.4% | 41% | 41% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 48% | 48% | -1.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 48% | 48% | -1.0% |
| all | 25 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 48% | 48% | -1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.9% | 48% | -1.0% |
| 10% | -26.7% | 40% | -10.4% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 40% | -19.1% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 36% | -27.0% |