Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:36:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8eab…926a crypto 1833 markets active 3h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$247 (+6%) realized +$247 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate46%742W / 877L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$835
7 days−$622
14 days−$508
30 days−$398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$262
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 391 -7.7% -16.5% 39% 39% -55.5%
≤30d 917 +12.5% +1.8% 47% 47% -26.3%
≤90d 1619 +1.8% -7.9% 46% 46% -22.6%
all 1619 +1.8% -7.9% 46% 46% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 46% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 45% -30.0%
15% -24.8% 41% -36.7%
20% -32.1% 38% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late +15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$247
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses742 / 877
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1619 / 1833
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1619 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records