trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +4.4% | -5.6% | 57% | 21% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 56% | 28% | -10.1% |
| all | 19 | -7.9% | -16.6% | 53% | 26% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.6% | 26% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -24.6% | 26% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 16% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 5% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $81 | $81 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $67 | $67 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 28 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 28 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$5 | -53% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $39 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $52 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $81 | −$2 | -2% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 18 | $2 | +$1 | +38% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | Jun 07 | $2 | +$1 | +36% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | Jun 07 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 21 | $2 | +$1 | +65% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 05 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Feb 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |