trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +3.2% | -6.7% | 17% | 17% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 25% | 8% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 25% | 8% | -9.3% |
| all | 27 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 48% | 4% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 4% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $59 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +22% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $58 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $2 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Starmer out before July? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | May 09 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 20 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Apr 20 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |