Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:46:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e96…0344
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +1.7% -7.9% 33% 33% -7.5%
≤30d 3 +1.7% -7.9% 33% 33% -7.5%
≤90d 3 +1.7% -7.9% 33% 33% -7.5%
all 3 +1.7% -7.9% 33% 33% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 33% -7.5%
10% -16.8% 33% -16.3%
15% -24.8% 33% -24.4%
20% -32.2% 33% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.93 · official $9.93 (match) · 7 history records