Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e8a…b9f8
crypto · 162 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$1,951 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,348 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,240
Realized+$1,348
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses121 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$66
Open positions3
Markets (closed)159 / 162
History coverage55d
Avg bet$154
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$188
7 days+$339
14 days+$1,137
30 days+$1,136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 89¢ 85¢ $4,000 $3,845 −$155 (-4%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 8¢ 28¢ $106 $394 +$288 (+273%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 9¢ 0¢ $110 $1 −$109 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 92¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Once Upon A Team 43¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 3 Winner BIG 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Leo Team 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $97 +$9 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$32 +32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$29 +28%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $202 −$100 -50%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $101 +$23 +23%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $101 +$33 +32%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $305 +$78 +26%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $101 +$23 +23%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $200 +$10 +5%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $201 +$52 +26%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $201 +$47 +23%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $101 −$23 -23%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $501 +$31 +6%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $201 −$200 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$16 +16%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $101 +$30 +30%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$15 +15%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$16 +16%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $101 +$28 +27%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $101 +$26 +26%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 −$14 -14%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $201 +$19 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Top Esports Challenger (BO1) - Asia Jun 08 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $101 +$26 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $100 +$12 +12%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $2,000 +$51 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $102 +$70 +68%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$7 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$17 +17%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $101 +$20 +20%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $300 +$15 +5%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $100 +$11 +11%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$30 +149%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $100 +$8 +8%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $100 +$5 +5%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $101 +$20 +20%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$3 +6%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $100 +$5 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $101 +$48 +48%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 05 $2,200 +$585 +27%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $31 +$40 +132%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner May 31 $51 +$37 +72%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl May 31 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group S May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $201 +$19 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $46 −$45 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 48% +$1,170
sports 39% +$365
finance 9% −$187
crypto 4% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 1¢ $10 55m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 59¢ $101 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 88¢ $106 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $97 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $133 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $130 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $101 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $101 7h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 53¢ $101 18h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL LOUD 50¢ $66 18h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOUD 75¢ $101 19h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $3,000 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 34¢ $452 20h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 26¢ $322 20h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 81¢ $101 30h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G BUY Saigon Warriors 75¢ $101 33h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 55¢ $101 44h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Forsaken 60¢ $371 45h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 42¢ $102 45h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Forsaken 31¢ $5 45h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 25¢ $102 45h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 99¢ $122 46h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 80¢ $101 46h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 7¢ $100 47h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 7¢ $100 47h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 99¢ $248 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 76¢ $101 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 84¢ $100 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 50¢ $78 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 95¢ $200 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +5.2% -4.8% 83% 52% -5.2%
≤30d 155 +3.6% -6.2% 77% 57% -2.5%
≤90d 159 +3.6% -6.3% 76% 56% -3.5%
all 159 +3.6% -6.3% 76% 56% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 56% -3.5%
10% -15.2% 41% -12.7%
15% -23.4% 22% -21.2%
20% -30.9% 14% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,240.05 · official $4,240.19 (match) · 352 history records