Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T05:26:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8e6c…c24b crypto 26 markets active 3d ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$10,734 (+30%) realized +$10,734 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +204% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +125% what you keep after slip
Net edge+125%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate62%16W / 10L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown34%max
Avg bet$1,357per market
Trades / day92.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1,861
14 days+$10,169
30 days+$10,169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$10,169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+175.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +194.9% +166.8% 45% 45% -7.8%
≤30d 26 +203.9% +175.0% 62% 62% +14.7%
≤90d 26 +203.9% +175.0% 62% 62% +14.7%
all 26 +203.9% +175.0% 62% 62% +14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +175.0% 62% +14.7%
10% +148.7% 62% +3.7%
15% ← realistic here +124.6% 62% -6.3%
20% +102.6% 62% -15.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +36% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +204% · $-wt +36% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$1,511) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +181% → late +226% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
12.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,410 vs −$1,240 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.82 per $1 lost it wins $1.82
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$10,734
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses16 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1,357
Trades / day92.7
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 26 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $1,024 +$1,240 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $416 +$548 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $1,061 +$3,086 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 21 $563 −$553 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $2,440 −$2,403 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 20 $3,548 +$1,690 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $1,002 −$960 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $749 −$721 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $813 +$1,614 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $1,517 −$1,500 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $915 +$1,041 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $330 +$2,263 +686%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $339 −$339 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2,000 +$2,802 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $360 +$223 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,775 +$1,698 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $747 +$706 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $336 −$320 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,045 +$1,427 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,045 −$1,969 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $368 +$388 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3,116 +$1,807 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3,546 −$3,452 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3,546 +$1,036 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,511 +$996 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $361 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $662 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $416 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $218 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $425 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $23 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $143 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $228 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $494 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $70 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.09 · official $0.00 · 835 history records