Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e67…dad6
sports · 338 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$161 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$218 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$55
Realized+$218
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses200 / 132
Est. fees paid−$208
Open positions6
Markets (closed)332 / 338
Avg bet$98
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 332 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$198
14 days−$306
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Seize the day 11¢ 6¢ $49 $29 −$20 (-41%)
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair Laura Mair 15¢ 14¢ $22 $22 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A MARKandLARRY 19¢ 8¢ $8 $3 −$4 (-55%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov Nikita Mashtakov 19¢ 4¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-78%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs NA, wed win 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Grey Trac 19¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Sara Milanese 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $7 +$33 +442%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 12 $1 +$9 +596%
ITF Los Angeles: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Sasha Rozin Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $2 +$8 +414%
ITF Decatur: Violeta Martinez vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Wichita: Matisse Farzam vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Salma Ewing vs Maria Aytoyan Jun 12 $9 +$31 +360%
ITF Wichita: William Manning vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Catherine Aulia vs Veronica Miroshnichenko Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Monastir: Eva Lopez vs Nikola Daubnerova Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Sofia Rocchetti Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
ITF Merzig: Milana Maslenkova vs Fabienne Gettwart Jun 11 $85 −$85 -100%
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Cayetana Gay Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Sae Noguchi vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 11 $12 +$48 +392%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Patrik Meszaros Jun 11 $39 +$251 +650%
ITF Casablanca: Leonie Rabl vs Nour El Ouazzani Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Elena Milovanovic Jun 11 $86 −$86 -100%
ITF Madrid: Elyse Tse vs Marta Soriano Santiago Jun 11 $87 +$13 +15%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Carolin Raschdorf vs Denisa Zoldakova Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mutsumi Uemura Jun 11 $147 −$147 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
ITF Martos: Alejandro Arcila vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Akira Santillan Jun 10 $46 −$46 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Alan Magadan vs Hyeon Chung Jun 09 $89 −$89 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova Jun 09 $83 +$17 +20%
ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Varvara Panshina Jun 09 $81 +$19 +24%
ITF Tokyo: Thasaporn Naklo vs Sae Noguchi Jun 09 $86 +$14 +16%
ITF Tokyo: Riyo Yoshida vs Kurea Hayasaka Jun 09 $84 +$16 +19%
ITF Tokyo: Nagi Hanatani vs Gaeul Jang Jun 09 $87 +$13 +15%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 09 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $82 +$18 +21%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 09 $83 +$17 +20%
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 09 $86 +$14 +16%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs MGLBROS (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $81 +$19 +24%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual Jun 09 $81 +$19 +24%
ITF Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hanyi Liu Jun 08 $84 +$16 +19%
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani Jun 08 $86 +$14 +16%
ITF Focsani: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Sophie Greiner Jun 07 $87 −$87 -100%
ITF Luan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yecong Mo Jun 06 $85 +$15 +17%
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Deniz Dilek Jun 06 $83 +$17 +20%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $100 −$10 -10%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $103 −$3 -3%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $104 −$4 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$176
politics 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese BUY Sara Milanese 10¢ $7 1h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair BUY Laura Mair 15¢ $12 2h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair BUY Laura Mair 15¢ $12 2h
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open BUY Grey Trac 19¢ $15 2h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov BUY Nikita Mashtakov 19¢ $2 3h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov BUY Nikita Mashtakov 19¢ $2 3h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova BUY Dong Ju Kim 29¢ $3 4h
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova BUY Dong Ju Kim 25¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 11¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +9.5% -0.9% 45% 39% -15.2%
≤30d 218 +2.1% -7.7% 57% 17% -10.1%
≤90d 332 +1.4% -8.2% 60% 22% -8.9%
all 332 +1.4% -8.2% 60% 22% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 22% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 5% -17.6%
15% -25.0% 2% -25.6%
20% -32.4% 2% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.33 · official $56.16 (match) · 1455 history records