trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -11.4% | -19.9% | 53% | 47% | -11.6% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 50% | 45% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 50% | 45% | -13.3% |
| all | 20 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 50% | 45% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.9% | 45% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -31.2% | 30% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -37.8% | 25% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -43.9% | 15% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $121 | +$46 | +38% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$5 | +27% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $61 | −$32 | -53% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5 | Jun 24 | $41 | −$22 | -54% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $51 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$6 | +20% |
| England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$34 | -66% |
| Spread: France (-3.5) | Jun 23 | $10 | −$2 | -19% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$8 | -76% |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $41 | −$15 | -36% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $4 | +$4 | +93% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -79% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $7 | +$3 | +43% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |