Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e62…fd00
sports · 1393 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,493 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,508 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$105
Realized−$1,508
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses592 / 795
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1387 / 1393
History coverage69d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day35.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 6 History 1387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$1,256
14 days−$674
30 days−$1,700
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 35¢ 52¢ $30 $44 +$14 (+46%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jesper de Jong 48¢ 58¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 60¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Alan Magadan 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 25¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Junhan Zhang 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Caty McNally 20¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Quentin Halys 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $5 +$5 +95%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $10 +$7 +64%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $33 +$30 +89%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $25 −$24 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $19 +$20 +102%
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama Jun 13 $5 +$4 +80%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 +$4 +87%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $12 +$13 +109%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $11 −$10 -92%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $29 −$16 -54%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $9 −$1 -6%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $5 +$8 +160%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $6 +$16 +263%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $35 +$27 +76%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $33 +$17 +50%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $15 +$19 +130%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $8 −$6 -74%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $5 +$7 +134%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$977
other 20% −$473
crypto 1% −$37
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $20 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 42¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 27¢ $10 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 57¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 30¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 50¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 68¢ $10 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 60¢ $10 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 53¢ $10 3h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu SELL Yunchaokete Bu 100¢ $17 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $63 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 52¢ $33 4h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 60¢ $10 4h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 18¢ $19 5h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 42¢ $5 5h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 38¢ $8 5h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 27¢ $6 6h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 50¢ $17 8h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 40¢ $2 8h
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama BUY Zongyu Li 55¢ $5 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $15 10h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 54¢ $10 10h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Chicago Cubs 99¢ $9 10h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 20¢ $10 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 64¢ $10 11h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 52¢ $5 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 -25.1% -32.2% 37% 36% -45.3%
≤30d 664 -16.0% -24.0% 45% 44% -20.5%
≤90d 1387 -12.2% -20.6% 43% 41% -14.7%
all 1387 -12.2% -20.6% 43% 41% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 41% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 38% -22.9%
15% -35.1% 34% -30.3%
20% -41.5% 28% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.52 · official $104.52 (match) · 3500 history records