Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e52…2320
sports · 1414 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$4,316 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,373 · open −$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,926
Realized+$4,373
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1272 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$116
Open positions33
Markets (closed)1379 / 1414
History coverage4d
Avg bet$219
Trades / day484.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 33 History 1379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,284
7 days+$4,373
14 days+$4,373
30 days+$4,373
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 99¢ 100¢ $358 $359 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 0 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $300 +$3 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 0 - 1 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $298 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 1 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 100¢ $297 $298 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 2 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: IK Start 2 - 3 Vålerenga Fotball? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$1 (+0%)
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 99¢ 100¢ $209 $211 +$2 (+1%)
Set Handicap: Cavalle-Reimers/Salden (-1.5) vs Gorgodze/Karamoko (+1.5) Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 99¢ 100¢ $209 $211 +$2 (+1%)
Vaasan Palloseura leading at halftime? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+1%)
Tessa Brockmann vs. Alycia Parks: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 92¢ 75¢ $70 $57 −$13 (-19%)
Set 1 Winner: Evans vs Giron Giron 90¢ 81¢ $27 $24 −$3 (-10%)
Stoiana vs. Naef: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Maccabi Tel-Aviv (-17.5) Maccabi Tel-Aviv 99¢ 100¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Brockmann vs. Parks: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 76¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-24%)
Dino Prizmic vs. Rinky Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 75¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-24%)
Stoiana vs. Naef: Match O/U 22.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Stoiana vs. Naef: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 51¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Galan vs. Balshaw: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Siniakova vs. Yuan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Game Handicap: the bug (-1.5) vs NA, we'd win (+1.5) the bug 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Brockmann vs. Parks: Match O/U 21.5 Over 99¢ 76¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $209 +$2 +1%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $32 $0 +1%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $534 +$5 +1%
Rodriguez vs. Kicker: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Monday vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Cina vs. Daniel: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $510 +$5 +1%
Wendelken vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Harry Wendelken vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $4,388 +$45 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Mattia Bellucci vs. Mikhail Kukushkin: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Landaluce vs. Huesler: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Martin Landaluce vs. Marc-Andrea Huesler: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Katie Boulter vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Udvardy vs. Volynets: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Krutykh vs Petak Jun 13 $495 +$5 +1%
Ilkley (Doubles): Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs Stevenson/Willis Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $45 +$1 +2%
Tampereen Ilves vs. Turun Palloseura: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $65 +$1 +2%
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Krueger vs. Vidmanova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Duckworth vs. Vukic: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Tampereen Ilves leading at halftime? Jun 13 $37 $0 +1%
Turun Palloseura leading at halftime? Jun 13 $37 $0 +1%
Duckworth vs. Vukic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Kovacevic vs. Mmoh: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Jong vs. Valle: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Emma Raducanu vs. Kamilla Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $512 +$5 +1%
Hannah Klugman vs. Anastasia Zakharova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Wendelken vs. Walton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Wendelken vs. Walton: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Libema Open (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos Jun 13 $104 +$1 +1%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Antonia Ruzic vs. Kaja Juvan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Shevchenko vs. Sachko: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Shevchenko vs. Sachko: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Brockmann vs. Parks: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$4,180
other 5% +$135
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Galan vs. Balshaw: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 6m
Set 1 Winner: Evans vs Giron BUY Giron 90¢ $27 8m
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 17m
Dino Prizmic vs. Rinky Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $15 20m
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 27m
Evans vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 31m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 99¢ $172 32m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 99¢ $32 33m
Set Handicap: Cavalle-Reimers/Salden (-1.5) vs Gorgodze/Karamoko (+1.5 BUY Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 99¢ $209 35m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 99¢ $5 36m
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden BUY Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 99¢ $204 36m
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden BUY Cavalle-Reimers/Salden 99¢ $5 36m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $6 48m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $53 50m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $4 50m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $7 53m
Rodriguez vs. Kicker: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 53m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $118 53m
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $346 53m
Stoiana vs. Naef: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 99¢ $10 58m
Cina vs. Daniel: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $3 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $4,222 1h
Stoiana vs. Naef: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $20 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $166 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 99¢ $495 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 99¢ $15 1h
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $15 1h
Monday vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Bellucci vs. Kukushkin: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1379 +1.2% -8.4% 92% 1% -8.2%
≤30d 1379 +1.2% -8.4% 92% 1% -8.2%
≤90d 1379 +1.2% -8.4% 92% 1% -8.2%
all 1379 +1.2% -8.4% 92% 1% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover484.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 1% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 1% -17.0%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,925.63 · official $2,924.68 (match) · 3500 history records