Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T08:50:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8e4b…c902 crypto 602 markets active 1h ago coverage 47d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$19 (+0%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate58%350W / 252L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day53.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$15
14 days−$117
30 days−$3,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$666
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +8.0% -2.3% 57% 45% -10.3%
≤30d 438 -20.4% -28.0% 48% 42% -25.8%
≤90d 602 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 50% -11.8%
all 602 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 50% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 50% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 41% -20.3%
15% -31.9% 33% -28.0%
20% -38.6% 24% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +28% → late -44% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$32 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses350 / 252
Open positions0
Markets (closed)602 / 602
History coverage47d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day53.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 602 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $84 −$42 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $12 +$8 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$24 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 27 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$31 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $22 +$77 +350%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$94 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$15 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $65 −$47 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $53 +$22 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $35 +$50 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $18 +$18 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $43 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $13 −$9 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 26 $175 −$76 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 26 $79 +$51 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $66 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$70 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $18 +$12 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $16 +$16 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $64 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $85 −$82 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $48 +$56 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$9 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2936 history records