Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8E 0x8e20…15fa crypto 100 markets active 10h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (170 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$6 (-3%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate30%30W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day170.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (170 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -6.2% -15.1% 30% 12% -16.5%
≤30d 100 -6.2% -15.1% 30% 12% -16.5%
≤90d 100 -6.2% -15.1% 30% 12% -16.5%
all 100 -6.2% -15.1% 30% 12% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover170.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 12% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 3% -24.5%
15% -30.6% 1% -31.8%
20% -37.4% 1% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.25 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses30 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day170.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records