Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8E
0x8e19…d2b0
sports · 871 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$7,357 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,100 · open +$252
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$457
Realized+$7,100
Unrealized+$252
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses494 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,366
Open positions2
Markets (closed)869 / 871
History coverage112d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day25.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 869 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,030
7 days−$393
14 days+$1,149
30 days+$4,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner EDward Gaming 40¢ 100¢ $178 $447 +$269 (+151%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs MASONIC 88¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 15¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Nemiga 62¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 2 Winner Lazer Cats 1¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) Evil Geniuses 5¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs CHAOS - Map 2 Winner Fire Flux Esports 59¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner AM Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner M80 45¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) magic 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 18¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 69¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 25¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs NAVI Junior 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) TheMongolz 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) GamerLegion 33¢ 0¢ $647 $0 −$647 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Sharks 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs Endless Journey 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) Pcific Esports 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 45¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 54¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 30¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $92 −$6 -7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $231 +$292 +127%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $360 +$279 +78%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $163 +$118 +73%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $353 +$21 +6%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,183 +$252 +21%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $98 +$64 +65%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $14 −$13 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $166 +$313 +189%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $43 +$43 +101%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $6 +$14 +226%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $427 −$421 -99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $295 +$214 +72%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $45 −$44 -98%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $908 +$125 +14%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $114 +$68 +60%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $152 +$59 +39%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$2 +144%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $128 +$59 +46%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $40 +$55 +138%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $25 +$17 +69%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $17 +$1 +6%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $13 +$7 +57%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +206%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 11 $45 +$69 +154%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $45 −$44 -98%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $791 −$394 -50%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $135 +$143 +105%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs KOLESIE (+6.5) Jun 10 $13 −$13 -97%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $13 −$2 -18%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $491 −$490 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $65 +$5 +8%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $778 −$778 -100%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $813 −$73 -9%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) Jun 09 $23 +$15 +67%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 09 $47 +$96 +204%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $279 +$81 +29%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $155 +$242 +156%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$7,789
other 1% −$437
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $5 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $6 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $5 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $63 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 21¢ $7 35m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $3 36m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $86 36m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $3 36m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 49¢ $62 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 49¢ $49 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 49¢ $15 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 49¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL STATE 18¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL STATE 18¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL STATE 18¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 15¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 15¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 17¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 17¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 16¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 16¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 14¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL MASONIC 88¢ $42 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +4.0% -5.9% 55% 49% -12.1%
≤30d 269 +26.8% +14.7% 58% 52% -1.2%
≤90d 701 +32.8% +20.2% 58% 52% -4.1%
all 869 +30.4% +17.9% 57% 52% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.9% 52% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here +6.7% 44% -13.4%
15% -3.7% 37% -21.8%
20% -13.1% 31% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $456.69 · official $456.69 (match) · 3500 history records