Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:48:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8dee…412b
sports · 1152 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$4,245 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,269 · open −$625
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,559
Realized+$20,269
Unrealized−$625
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses480 / 627
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,721
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1107 / 1152
History coverage619d
Avg bet$302
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 7 History 1107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$967
7 days+$10,458
14 days+$17,720
30 days+$17,720
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1,500 $2,047 +$547 (+36%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $1,500 $1,418 −$82 (-5%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 22¢ $1,500 $701 −$799 (-53%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 60¢ 49¢ $600 $490 −$110 (-18%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 49¢ 46¢ $500 $472 −$28 (-6%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 46¢ 34¢ $518 $389 −$129 (-25%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 11¢ 7¢ $66 $42 −$24 (-36%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-11-01? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? No 24¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Zamalek SC vs. Petrojet SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Rio Ave FC vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Score Yes 56¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $345 $0 −$345 (-100%)
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) Denmark 30¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Mallorca vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) Real Betis Balompié 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $511 +$1,213 +238%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1,013 +$773 +76%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,010 +$503 +50%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $506 +$287 +57%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $620 +$380 +61%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 14 $496 +$704 +142%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $712 +$971 +136%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1,015 +$946 +93%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,021 −$1,000 -98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $411 −$400 -97%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,022 −$1,000 -98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,524 −$1,500 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,017 +$1,361 +134%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $51 +$282 +550%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1,283 −$1,278 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $765 −$765 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $401 −$400 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2,818 +$2,177 +77%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1,301 −$1,301 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $410 −$400 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,025 −$2,000 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $888 −$888 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $559 −$557 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1,689 −$1,678 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $556 +$449 +81%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $607 +$346 +57%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $410 −$400 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3,036 −$2,051 -68%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,524 +$1,737 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $509 +$773 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $630 +$370 +59%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,260 +$740 +59%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,280 +$720 +56%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,016 +$1,112 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $114 +$381 +335%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $528 +$672 +127%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $475 +$444 +93%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $163 +$364 +223%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1,120 +$880 +79%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $307 −$300 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,017 −$1,000 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $911 +$589 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $17 +$22 +129%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1,014 +$838 +83%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,274 +$53 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3,028 +$1,320 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$11,483
other 25% +$5,135
politics 3% +$2,621
crypto 1% +$494
world 0% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $607 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 46¢ $508 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 45¢ $18 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 49¢ $508 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 11¢ $68 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1,524 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $1,524 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1,514 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $555 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $238 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $277 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $30 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $49 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $98 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $16 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $113 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $23 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $15 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 56¢ $1,013 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $1,010 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 63¢ $506 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 29¢ $511 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 41¢ $64 16h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 41¢ $211 17h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $712 17h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 41¢ $220 17h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $1,015 17h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $1,021 17h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 12¢ $411 17h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1,022 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +20.4% +8.9% 55% 54% +3.2%
≤30d 183 +18.0% +6.8% 52% 52% +4.7%
≤90d 183 +18.0% +6.8% 52% 52% +4.7%
all 1107 +4.4% -5.6% 43% 43% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.6% 43% -3.8%
10% -14.6% 43% -13.0%
15% -22.8% 43% -21.4%
20% -30.4% 42% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,559.26 · official $5,619.37 · 3365 history records